When you see the VIX above 30, that’s sometimes viewed as an indication that markets are very unsettled. Volatility values, investors’ fears, and VIX values all move up when the market is falling. The reverse is true when the market advances—the index values, fear, and volatility decline. Since the possibility of such price moves happening within the given time frame is represented by the volatility factor, various option pricing methods (like the Black-Scholes model) include volatility as an integral input parameter. The VIX attempts to measure the magnitude of price movements of the S&P 500 (i.e., its volatility). The more dramatic the price swings are in the index, the higher the level of volatility, and https://forexanalytics.info/ vice versa.
But for those who are more inclined to trade and speculate, ETFs that track the VIX can be a useful tool. When uncertainty and fear hits the market, stocks generally fall, and your portfolio could take a hit. But because of how they’re constructed, even the best volatility ETFs tend to decline in value over time, even if they do spike higher in times of intense volatility. Sentiment plays a big role in decision making for the stock markets, and to that extent, it could be a good idea to glance at the VIX.
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- VIX values below 20 generally correspond to stable, stress-free periods in the markets.
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- Products based on other market indexes include the Nasdaq-100 Volatility Index (VXN); the CBOE DJIA Volatility Index (VXD); and the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX).
- She has contributed to numerous outlets, including NPR, Marketwatch, U.S. News & World Report and HuffPost.
- At the time, the index only took into consideration the implied volatility of eight separate S&P 100 put and call options.
Understanding the Cboe Volatility Index
You may have seen references to something called the VIX, an index that measures volatility, during times of extreme financial stress. In August 2024, the VIX jumped above 60, a level not seen since the market meltdown in the initial stages of COVID-19 in March 2020, as worries grow about a possible recession. Large institutional investors hedge their portfolios using S&P 500 options to position themselves as winners whether the market goes up or down, and the The International Handbook of Shipping Finance VIX index follows these trades to gauge market volatility. The CBOE Volatility Index—also known as the VIX—is a primary gauge of stock market volatility. The VIX volatility index offers insight into how financial professionals are feeling about near-term market conditions. Understanding how the VIX works and what it’s saying can help short-term traders tweak their portfolios and get a feel for where the market is headed.
What Does the Volatility Index (VIX) Indicate?
In finance, mean reversion is a key principle that suggests asset prices generally remain close to their long-term averages. If prices gain a great deal very quickly, or fall very far, very rapidly, the principle of mean reversion suggests they should snap back to their long-term average before long. Examples include the CBOE Short-Term Volatility Index (VIX9D), which reflects the nine-day expected volatility of the S&P 500 Index; the CBOE S&P Month Volatility Index (VIX3M); and the CBOE S&P Month Volatility Index (VIX6M). Products based on other market indexes include the Nasdaq-100 Volatility Index (VXN); the CBOE DJIA Volatility Index (VXD); and the CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX). Following the popularity of the VIX, the CBOE now offers several other variants for measuring broad market volatility.
Options and futures based on VIX products are available for trading on CBOE and CFE platforms, respectively. Investing in the VIX directly is not possible, but you can purchase ETFs that track the index as a way to speculate on future changes in the VIX or as a tool for hedging. This isn’t something that will make sense for most investors who are working to meet a long-term goal such as saving for retirement.
ETNs in particular can be less liquid and more difficult to trade as well as may carry higher fees. However, the VIX can be traded through futures contracts, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and exchange-traded notes (ETNs) that own these futures contracts. VIX values are calculated using the CBOE-traded standard SPX options, which expire on the third Friday of each month, and the weekly SPX options, which expire on all other Fridays. Only SPX options are considered whose expiry period lies within more than 23 days and less than 37 days. In addition to being an index to measure volatility, traders can also trade VIX futures, options, and ETFs to hedge or speculate on volatility changes in the index.
Thomas J Catalano is a CFP and Registered Investment Adviser with the state of South Carolina, where he launched his own financial advisory firm in 2018. Thomas’ experience gives him expertise in a variety of areas including investments, retirement, insurance, and financial planning. Many, or all, of the products featured on this page are from our advertising partners who compensate us when you take certain actions on our website or click to take an action on their website. Bankrate’s AdvisorMatch can connect you to a CFP® professional to help you achieve your financial goals.
Cboe Volatility Index (VIX): What is it and how is it measured?
NerdWallet, Inc. is an independent publisher and comparison service, not an investment advisor. Its articles, interactive tools and other content are provided to you for free, as self-help tools and for informational purposes only. NerdWallet does not and cannot guarantee the accuracy or applicability of any information in regard to your individual circumstances. Examples are hypothetical, and we encourage you to seek personalized advice from qualified professionals regarding specific investment issues. Our estimates are based on past market performance, and past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
Although the VIX revealed high levels of investor anxiety, the Investopedia Anxiety Index (IAI) remained neutral. The IAI is constructed by analyzing which topics generate the most reader interest at a given time and comparing that with actual events in the financial markets. The VIX is considered a reflection of investor sentiment, but one must remember that it is supposed to be a leading indicator.
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This may influence which products we review and write about (and where those products appear on the site), but it in no way affects our recommendations or advice, which are grounded in thousands of hours of research. Our partners cannot pay us to guarantee favorable reviews of their products or services. Market professionals rely on a wide variety of data sources and tools to stay on top of the market. The VIX is one the main indicators for understanding when the market is possibly headed for a big move up or down or when it may be ready to quiet down after a period of volatility. Active traders who employ their own trading strategies and advanced algorithms use VIX values to price the derivatives, which are based on high beta stocks.
About Volatility S&P 500 Index
The first method is based on historical volatility, using statistical calculations on previous prices over a specific time period. This process involves computing various statistical numbers, like mean (average), variance, and finally, the standard deviation on the historical price data sets. But this compensation does not influence the information we publish, or the reviews that you see on this site.
For instance, a stock having a beta of +1.5 indicates that it is theoretically 50% more volatile than the market. Traders making bets through options of such high beta stocks utilize the VIX volatility values in appropriate proportion to correctly price their options trades. The VIX has paved the way for using volatility as a tradable asset, albeit through derivative products. CBOE launched the first VIX-based exchange-traded futures contract in March 2004, followed by the launch of VIX options in February 2006. All such qualifying options should have valid nonzero bid and ask prices that represent the market perception of which options’ strike prices will be hit by the underlying stocks during the remaining time to expiry.
Typically, the performance of the VIX index and the S&P 500 are inversely related to each other. In other words, when the price of VIX is going up, the price of the S&P 500 is usually heading south. The investing information provided on this page is for educational purposes only. NerdWallet, Inc. does not offer advisory or brokerage services, nor does it recommend or advise investors to buy or sell particular stocks, securities or other investments. The higher the VIX, the greater the level of fear and uncertainty in the market, with levels above 30 indicating tremendous uncertainty.
For example, on Nov. 9, 2017, the VIX climbed 22% during the trading session on fears of delays in the tax reform plan. Get a custom financial plan and unlimited access to a Certified Financial Planner™ for just $49/month. As the derivatives markets matured, 10 years later, in 2003, the CBOE teamed up with Goldman Sachs and updated the methodology to calculate VIX differently.
Miranda is completing her MBA and lives in Idaho, where she enjoys spending time with her son playing board games, travel and the outdoors. As an investor, if you see the VIX rising it could be a sign of volatility ahead. You might consider shifting some of your portfolio to assets thought to be less risky, like bonds or money market funds.